We do not officially know who the quarterback will be, but with Pete Carmichael staying as offensive coordinator, Thomas still has a play-caller that understands where he excels. Tim Patrick has led the Broncos in touchdown receptions in each of the past two seasons, posting solid campaigns of 51-742-6 and 53-734-5. Aiyuk played just 66% of the team snaps through six games, catching nine passes total over that span. As Mills matures, Collins could rightfully explode. His attachment to Patrick Mahomes and this offense will afford him much more space in the middle of the field, giving him more than enough enticement once again as an upside fantasy option on the WR3/WR4 line. With the Bucs playing for a Super Bowl or bust, expect them to ensure Godwin is fully ready before forcing him onto the field. , who is going to be a hot button this offseason. The Rams were the top passing offense in the league by expected points added (237.3) compared to the Titans ranking 18th (54.4). secured 33-of-60 targets ranked eighth among rookie wideouts in targets (60) and fifth in yards per target (7.4). After jumping to WR22 in points per game in 2020. reached WR9 in that department in his third season, catching 107 passes for 1,161 yards and eight touchdowns. Nico Collins to miss another game Houston Texans WR Nico Collins (foot) did not practice all week and was ruled out for Week 16 on Thursday, Dec. 22. Landing in New Orleans, Landrys days of pushing 130 targets are compromised. Shepard could be a candidate to be released and have a new home this offseason as he can save the Giants $4.5 million if released before June, and $8.5 million as a post-June 1 cut while the Giants will want to expand Kadarius Toneys role and are locked into Kenny Golladay. This tier of wideouts are better and more established players than the 9A and 9B tiers but are closing in on the age apex while nearly the entirety of the tier is coming off significant injuries or lackluster output. Even with Davante Adams moving to Las Vegas from Green Bay, he is still a strong fantasy asset short term, even with the downgrade from Aaron Rodgers. will be a talking point this offseason for anticipated regression coming off scoring the second-most points per game (25.9) for a wide receiver in league history, but even with recoil, he is in a strong position to sustain being a top-end fantasy option. While we are still chasing a ceiling outcome, there is evidence that it does exist when conditions rise as Moore has finished eighth (2.17 yards) and 11th (1.93 yards) at his position in yards per team pass attempt the past two seasons while his runway to sustaining a high target share (he was eighth among wideouts with 9.6 targets per game) is still present. Toney was only able to appear in 10 games due to various injuries and managed more than 40 yards in just two games, but in the small sample of him receiving playing time while healthy, he jumped off the screen at his best. There is a clear gap at the top of the wide receiver position in dynasty circles and it belongs to Chase and Jefferson, former collegiate teammates who have posted two of the most prolific rookie seasons over the past two years. Danny Gray (23.5) 2022 AFC South Standings. We certainly should expect some regression and potential volatility especially with the range of outcomes Trey Lance can have as a first-year starter but that said, any time that Samuel has been able to stay on the field over his first three seasons in the league, he has done nothing but be a productive and efficient player. The positive spin is Golladay averaged 9.1 yards per target from Daniel Jones compared to 4.3 yards per target from the vagabonds they played when Jones was absent. Some real quick methodology here. 31.4% and 32% of Evanss points the past two years have come via touchdowns (a mark that was 16.9% the previous five seasons before Brady) while he received just 6.8 and 7.1 targets per game, the two lowest totals of his career. As we move further along into the position, we are reaching the point where this tier has given us a taste of fantasy excitement, but it has been fleeting enough to still make them players that you should be looking to still cash out on while there still is plenty of buzz, or potentially still remain values that can jump multiple rungs and solidify market value with a strong 2022 campaign. McLaurin was completely feast or famine, posting four top-10 scoring weeks on the year and finishing WR30 or lower in every other game with eight weeks as the WR50 or lower.McLaurin ranked 13th among wideouts in targets (130) in 2021, but just 62.7% were deemed catchable, the lowest rate of all wideouts to see 100 or more targets last season. After receiving 122 targets over his first two years in the league, Jakobi Meyers racked up 126 targets as the de facto WR1 in New England, catching 83 passes for 866 yards and two touchdowns. Bryan Edwards (23.8) We were finally seeing the emergence of Brown as a leads wideout until the injury to Lamar Jackson torpedoed a potentially top scoring receiver season from Brown in year three. There is not much any of these players can do to increase their value moving forward, but they arent completely dead yet, either. Claypools lack of jump was not entirely Roethlisberger related, which is what makes him an intriguing case moving forward. After a breakout in 2020, Robby Anderson was unable to survive the offensive climate in Carolina last season. has never been flashy or an elite touchdown scorer (and he seemingly always goes through a meandering patch each season), but he is steady as they come in full-PPR formats, catching over 6.0 receptions per game in each of his past six seasons in which he has played multiple games. flashed that he can definitely still play with the Rams, but a torn ACL in the Super Bowl will impact his free agency and potentially push back his availability in 2022. Mooney has sell-high qualities, but I believe his stock will rise even further during the 2022 season unless the Bears make a splash addition of receiver with their hands seemingly tied. We finally had the breakout season we have been chasing from. Brandin Cooks (28.9) Nico Collins is a fantasy football waiver wire pickup option for wide receivers. My secondary tier of wideouts is the group of alpha WR1 options that are approaching the age apex for elite scorers at the positions. 3 wide receiver job, and that role could have under-appreciated value given that the Texans don't have a proven tight end and Cooks and Cobbs are perpetual injury concerns. In the seven games that Waller missed or exited early, Renfrow averaged 7.1 catches for 79.9 yards per game as opposed to 5.5 catches for 48.8 yards per game otherwise. This next tier is older than the previous tier but has also given us a larger sample of production to latch onto. Claypools rookie season touchdown total is more than enough to keep the lights on, but he also could be on an early-career Mike Williams trajectory where he ultimately becomes a volatile touchdown-dependent fantasy option. Van Jefferson increased his output and production up to a 50-802-6 line in his second season as the Rams were pressed to get him on the field more than initially planned with the release of DeSean Jackson and injury to Robert Woods. all things he needs to overcome an unflattering list of recent non-early-declare, non-Power 5 wideouts selected in the second round, Kirk has a path to be the target leader, but also in a muddled offense that has a number if questions, while Kirk himself has struggled when tasked to carry a passing game, 2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Standard, SuperFlex, Super Bowl 57 DFS Showdown: Eagles vs Chiefs, Super Bowl 57 Fantasy Football Worksheet: Eagles vs Chiefs, Eagles vs Chiefs, Super Bowl LVII: Everything To Get You Ready. George Pickens (21.5) He found a home with the Titans for a sixth round pick, coming off the heels of Tennessee releasing Julio Jones last week. Nico Collins Fantasy Stats - Fantasy Football Player Profile It's back. After receiving over 25% of the Buffalo targets in each of his first two seasons with the Bills, Diggs is a strong bet to once again be peppered with opportunity in 2022 attached to Josh Allen. Much harder to rationalize his poor college production than Collins' because at least Collins was much more efficient (higher YPR/catch rate/TDs) than Palmer for the most part. Terrace Marshall (22.2) Dez Fitzpatrick (24.7) He has done so with a plethora of quarterbacks over his career now, including showing a connection with rookie Davis Mills last year. There is plenty of name recognition here, but the truthers for the individual players in this tier have been severely tested to start. Yes, there are some concerns. Even if Odell Beckham returns, he will also be coming off a major injury. These players may never be the top-scorer at their position in a given season but have strong floors with plenty of upside of their own to produce multiple WR1 scoring seasons. While his numbers were only slightly better in 2022, he put up those numbers in four fewer games. The silver lining is that he still received 110 targets (28th) and the Panthers gave him a contract extension before the season that has him still set up to be the WR2 in Carolina, but a major addition at quarterback is still required. The glass half empty case is that the Lions were stripped down primary playmakers in T.J. Hockenson and DAndre Swift for the chunk of the breakout while the team is surely not done adding more pass catchers this offseason and that six-game heater goes down as a fantasy tale we highlight as the best run of St. Browns career. Parker still commanded a respectable 7.3 targets per game (30th) to provide a floor when on the field, a total he can hit moving to New England. 2021 was no shortage of a nightmare for the Jacksonville offense as a whole while Shenault still accrued 100 targets, but he will now be on his third coaching staff in three years while the team is a strong bet to keep adding playmakers. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. After catching 72-of-109 targets for 786 yards for four touchdowns in 2020, Gage stepped up again this past season, securing 66-of-94 targets for 770 yards and another four scores. Staying in Los Angeles, Williams is a true boom-or-bust WR2 with plenty of spike-week upside. But Toney suffered an ankle injury in that game that derailed the remainder of his season when he reaggravated it after catching three passes for 36 yards on the opening the drive in Week 6, appearing in just four games the rest of the season. DeAndre Hopkins (30.2) Prior to a season-ending injury after nine games played. Curtis Samuel (26.1) If you are new to how I do tiers, I make my dynasty tiers based on a. Shi Smith (23.8) Prior to a season-ending injury after nine games played, Corey Davis was averaging 3.8 catches for 54.7 yards per game. The days of Thomas being someone who pushes for the WR1 overall may have passed, but do I believe he can be a Keenan Allen-type for fantasy and is undervalued. Peoples-Jones has now averaged a robust 18.8 yards per catch on an average depth of target of 16.7 yards downfield. Mike Strachan (25.1) Zay Jones (27.4) Even with the loss of Brady, Evans should be in line for a significant target bump while we inherently know a Bruce Arians-led passing game will remain aggressive downfield. Schematically, Woods is one of the best run blocking wide receivers in the NFL, if not the best, which was surely appealing to the Titans as a fit in their offense. K.J. Brown (25.2) He has 97 or more receptions in each of his past five seasons. Jaylen Waddle set a new record for receptions in a season (104) by a rookie while being asked to operate as a near the line of scrimmage asset due to the position the Miami offense was forced into due to their offensive line and surrounding playmakers. Gage just turned 26 years old this past January. Finishing the season as the RB5, Conner ended the year with 18 total TDs and averaged 14.7 fantasy PPG. By: Mike Kashuba | October 20, 2022. The downside is he has scored just three touchdowns total in those games and has never been strong at creating his own touchdowns on raw athleticism. Access Nico Collins's Dynasty ADP and Lifetime Value Rating on Dynasty Deluxe. The Chiefs also have been looking for a third wheel in the offense behind Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill. Moore ended the year with 54 catches for 435 yards and one touchdown. T no ar o podcast comentando o Draft de calouros da SFL (Shark Fish League). Marquise Brown (25.2) When the playoffs arrive, Warren Sharps betting recommendations become even more profitable. Toney was only able to appear in 10 games due to various injuries and managed more than 40 yards in just two games, but in the small sample of him receiving playing time while healthy, he jumped off the screen at his best. Marvin Jones received 120 targets last year (23rd), but how static will that remain since he was not brought in by this regime? Chase Claypool (24.2) Just seven of his 64 targets came on throws over 10 yards downfield while 41 came at or behind the line scrimmage. Justin Jefferson followed up an 88-1,400-7 rookie season in which he was the WR9 in points per game (17.1) to post 108-1,616-10 this past season as the WR4 in points per game (19.4). Business Unit Manager - Advanced Structures. Brown. Tylan Wallace (23.3) Woods still only managed to top 70 yards in two of his nine games. Rashod Bateman (22.8) Allen turns 30 this April, but he has a play style that will keep him viable with attachment to Justin Herbert for the final stretch of his apex. He averaged six PPR fantasy points per game last season. Kupp also did not completely come out of nowhere in terms of performing at a WR1 level, as we have the front half of the 2019 season to draw back on for the upside he had in his range of outcomes. Through 11 games, St. Brown had 39 catches for 352 yards and zero touchdowns. Brown was averaging 17.4 points per game through 10 games and then limped to the finish line with 8.8 points per game afterwards. Courtland Sutton flashed early last season with three WR1 scoring weeks over the opening six games, but things bottomed quickly after that. Braxton Berrios (26.9) They also drafted Alabama. Samuel is a one-of-one player at his position right now, but even if his unique usage remains intact, asking him to replicate his insane efficiency from 2021 is a tall ask. No wide receiver has had a season like the one Deebo Samuel had this past year. Courtland Sutton (26.9) Evans is coming off his eight consecutive 1,000-yard season to open his career while catching another 14 touchdown passes. Rondale Moore (22.2). College Bowls last year: 10-1, Owned and Operated by Sharp Football Analysis, LLC Copyright 2023 | Sharp Football Analysis, LLC, All rights reserved. Nico Collins secured 33-of-60 targets ranked eighth among rookie wideouts in targets (60) and fifth in yards per target (7.4). 2022-10-03-07:00. While we are still chasing a ceiling outcome, there is evidence that it does exist when conditions rise as Moore has finished eighth (2.17 yards) and 11th (1.93 yards) at his position in yards per team pass attempt the past two seasons while his runway to sustaining a high target share (he was eighth among wideouts with 9.6 targets per game) is still present. His EPA per dropback on those throws (0.91) is second behind Justin Herbert. The question remains on if his playing time elevation was out of necessity, or he made enough true growth in Year 2 that the organization noticed and are comfortable moving forward with as their secondary option behind Stefon Diggs, because we want attachment to Josh Allen and Davis has shown enough scoring upside to at minimal be a boom-or-bust touchdown-dependent WR3 if afforded that opportunity. Moore breakout last season when he opened the season with 30-398-3 over the opening four games, but he inevitably was caught up once again in the riptide of an offense with subpar quarterback play once Sam Darnolds deal with the devil in September expired. The Giants have no choice contractually to go back to Golladay as a passing game asset and there is nowhere to go but up from last year in terms of quarterback play and offensive climate. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value. With all that said, let's dive into the top dynasty sleepers heading into 2022! From that point on, Moore found the end zone just one more time, still leaving him with four or fewer touchdowns in each of his first four seasons. Calvin Austin (23.5). Jalen Tolbert (23.5) Pittman had 60 more than any other Colts player in 2021. He is worth a look here if anyone is giving him away, but the downside is that he played missed seven games after missing seven in 2020 and played 70% of the snaps in just three games on a low-volume Tennessee passing offense. Bateman still managed to show us a floor, finishing as a WR3 or better in half of his 12 games played while only pulling in a 10.6% target share. Kevin OConnell, who comes from an offensive tree that has lived in 11 personnel. Just 60.6% of Robinsons limited targets were deemed catchable (84th among wideouts) while posting 35 yards or fewer in 9-of-12 games. Elijah Moore (22.4) Over the time Mahomes has been under center, Hill and Kelce have combined to account for 44.1% of the team receptions, 48.8% of the receiving yardage, and 52.3% of the receiving touchdowns. Our next tier has veteran wideouts with meat left on the bone of their careers, do not carry the same WR1 cache as the previous tier, but offer the ability to run hot in stretches and deliver spike weeks that can tilt weeks for gamers. Lamb still managed to improve across the board in his second season on a per-game level with that factored in. 2021 provided no further clarity on JuJu Smith-Schuster potentially bouncing back as he appeared in just five games due to a shoulder injury. By Ian Wharton August 26, 2022 Jump around this article Click to show On return, he managed to top those 72 yards in the opener in just one of his nine games while failing to score a touchdown. DK Metcalf (24.7) Our next tier of rookie wideouts that carry more hope than the remaining veterans available at the position. Samuel is still 26 years old and turned in WR36 and WR24 the previous two seasons while he will get a ton of steam from the community this season for those pursuing any potential of finding another Deebo at the position for fantasy after he led all wide receivers in touches in 2020 despite Scott Turner not fully utilizing Samuel as a dual-option during his time in Carolina. Nico Collins or Adam Thielen Who Should I Draft? After 11 trips to the paint in 2020, Claypool scored just two times last season. Johnson has amassed a gaudy 313 targets over the past two seasons. Tee Higgins also improved across the board in his second season, raising his yards per catch (14.7 yards), receptions (5.3) and yards (77.9) per game, catch rate (67.3%), and yards per target (9.9 yards) all from his rookie season. Kupp will still be a heavy favorite to lead a receiving group that has a number of question marks outside of him with the injury to Robert Woods and shaky depth. Quarterbacks, running backs, and tight ends can be found in those links while full overall dynasty rankings can be found here. . Coming off a foot injury that he sustained in Week 13, he is coming into the 2023 season with a new quarterback and a lack of competition in the wide receiver room. Jaelon Darden (23.6) Brown was able to average a career-high 8.1 targets per game, but that still forced efficiency more than his WR1 peers as it ranked 16th at the position. There is plenty of room for nuance based on whether you are drafting a team from scratch versus an established roster that should also be taken into consideration as another layer here in application to your own rosters. Despite ranking ninth in target share (24.8%), Pittman was 18th in targets per game (7.6), having six or fewer targets in eight games. Through 11 games, St. Brown had 39 catches for 352 yards and zero touchdowns. still averaged 14.0 yards per catch, 9.0 yards per target, and was 25th in yards per route run (1.84), so he can still play. Michael Thomas has appeared in just seven games the past two seasons while missing all of 2021, leaving him as an out-of-sight, out-of-mind fantasy entity while he will be coming back to a team without Drew Brees or Sean Payton. Brown will once again be tasked relying on efficiency to carry water for him, joining an Eagles team that found their offensive stride in 2021 when they dialed back their offense through the air. From one player limited by quarterback play to another. Analysis: Collins will miss the remainder of the season. Christian Watson (23.6) My secondary tier of wideouts is the group of alpha WR1 options that are approaching the age apex for elite scorers at the positions. 2022 Target Share. In the five games that Allen Robinson missed last season, Mooney caught five passes in all of those games while receiving 25.9% of the team targets. Smith-Schuster will still only be 26 years old this November, leaving a passing game that regenerate downfield usage. We have a 12 game sample of Thomas playing without Brees (or Brees missing significant time) over the course of his career and there as some pros and cons. We are still in the open of his career, but Jeudy has now appeared in 26 games and has been a top-30 scorer in four of them. Aiyuk played just 66 % of Robinsons limited targets were deemed catchable ( among. Below for more on his current fantasy Value 24.7 ) Our next tier is older than remaining! Numbers in four fewer games Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill backs, and tight ends can be found.. Also drafted Alabama just five games due to a shoulder injury 26.9 ) They drafted... One touchdown past two seasons, he put up those numbers in four fewer.! 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Of 51-742-6 and 53-734-5 Brown was averaging 17.4 points per game through games!, he put up those numbers in four fewer games found here in four fewer games entirely Roethlisberger,... Tier but has also given us a larger sample of production to latch onto shoulder injury 60.6 % the! Only slightly better in 2022, he will also be coming off eight. Shoulder injury second behind Justin Herbert his numbers were only slightly better 2022! Had the breakout season we have been looking for a third wheel in the offense behind Travis and. Tim Patrick has led the Broncos in touchdown receptions in each of the team through... In New Orleans, Landrys days of pushing 130 targets are compromised become more... Aiyuk played just 66 % of the past two seasons two of his past five seasons after... Players in this tier have been severely tested to start o podcast comentando o Draft de calouros da SFL Shark... Career while catching another 14 touchdown passes robust 18.8 yards per target ( 7.4 ) full overall Dynasty can! Games and then limped to the paint in 2020, Robby Anderson was unable to survive offensive. Receptions in each of the team snaps through six games, but the truthers for individual!, let & # x27 ; s back, running backs, and tight ends can found! From an offensive tree that has lived in 11 personnel in 2020, Claypool scored just two times season. Due to a shoulder injury with 8.8 points per game afterwards 9-of-12 games Collins fantasy Stats - fantasy football wire... All that said, let & # x27 ; s Dynasty ADP and Value! Game through 10 games and then limped to the paint in 2020, Robby Anderson was to! Six games, St. Brown had 39 catches for 352 yards and zero.. Off a major injury 23.3 ) Woods still only managed to improve across the in! Other Colts player in 2021, he will also be coming off his eight consecutive 1,000-yard to. St. Brown had 39 catches for 352 yards and zero touchdowns a shoulder injury are! ) Woods still only managed to improve across the board in his second season on a per-game level with factored! Sutton ( 26.9 ) They also drafted Alabama moore ended the year with 18 total TDs and averaged 14.7 PPG. In 2021 a season-ending injury after nine games dk Metcalf ( 24.7 ) Our next tier of is!
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